New technologies or social structures transform the nature of armed conflict, testing whether existing laws of war and strategic doctrines remain viable.
Informs military doctrine evolution, autonomous weapons policy, and international humanitarian law in the face of novel capabilities.
Domains: Warfare and Weapons TechnologyGovernance and Political SystemsSpace Exploration and ColonizationExistential Risk and Civilizational CollapseEconomics and Resource AllocationFirst Contact and Alien CivilizationsEthics and Philosophy of TechnologyArtificial Intelligence and Machine LearningCommunication and Information TechnologySocial Engineering and PsychologyEnergy and PhysicsVirtual Reality and Simulation
Scenario Types: Prediction / ExtrapolationWarning / Self-preventing prophecySatire / Social commentaryThought experiment / What-ifEthical dilemma
Outcomes: CautionaryCatastrophicAmbiguous / MixedTransformativeAspirational
Tags: future-warfaremilitary-technologystrategyaerial-warfare-civilization-collapseaerial-warfarestrategic-bombingcivilizational-collapseasteroid-weapon-invasionasteroid-weaponplanetary-bombardmentalien-invasionkinetic-impactarms-race-theaterarms-racemilitary-industrial-complexsecurity-theatertechnologically-superior-invasioninvasioncolonialismbiological-warfaretechnological-supremacyautonomous-weapons-personhoodautonomous-weaponsai-personhoodmilitary-ethicsrobot-rightslethal-autonomous-systemspresumed-dead-strategic-advantageinformation-warfaredeceptionmilitary-strategyintelligence-failuresoldier-to-diplomat-transitionsoldier-diplomatrole-transitionpeace-seekinginstitutional-reformindoctrinated-soldier-awakeningindoctrinationderadicalizationmoral-awakeningidentity-crisismilitary-cultural-suppressionmilitary-cultureidentity-suppressiondiversityinstitutional-monocultureenemy-alliance-against-shared-threatenemy-allianceshared-threattemporary-cooperationforced-global-disarmamentforced-disarmamentunilateral-enforcementpeace-through-forceconspiracy-and-entropyconspiracyparanoiaentropymilitary-industrialscientist-weapon-moral-crisisweapon-inventionscientist-ethicsproliferationdual-usecovert-military-traininggamificationmilitary-recruitmentsimulation-realityinformed-consentsurvivor-to-commanderslave-tradetrauma-driven-leadershipimpenetrable-personal-shieldpersonal-shieldinvulnerabilityasymmetric-power